You've moved the goalposts from where you originally said EV's are "very expensive". "Very expensive" cannot mean less than the average price for a new car. You can argue more expensive than comparable quality or something but "very expensive" is wrong. As for used cars, I don't think there's enough data yet but I recall seeing an article where Teslas depreciated less than comparable ICE vehicles.
On the developing world front, in the last few months of the year the best selling EV in China cost $4,200.
> Plus personally I've rarely convinced anyone to buy anything with TCO calculations. Maybe you've had more luck :-)
The fuel costs ways less per mile, what don't you believe about that?
> I think EVs are still a few years ago from real mass adoption. 2025 sounds a bit more realistic.
This is what the projections I've read say as well, and battery prices will continue to decline, though not as steeply. That will be when the steepening of the adoption S curve happens.
> You've moved the goalposts from where you originally said EV's are "very expensive".
Very expensive for me, personally. I wouldn't pay the average US price of a car :-) Most of the world, including most Americans, seems to agree with me.
> As for used cars, I don't think there's enough data yet but I recall seeing an article where Teslas depreciated less than comparable ICE vehicles.
This is both good and bad. It's good, rationally, for TCO (but see my comment about TCO below), but it's bad because the second hand market price is higher, see my comment above :-)
> The fuel costs ways less per mile, what don't you believe about that?
I'm not saying I don't believe you, I'm saying that a big initial price is a much higher hurdle than you'd expect. People are not fully rational (otherwise the $9,99 psychological prices wouldn't work everywhere across the world) plus they don't fully/correctly factor in savings later. As they say: a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
On the developing world front, in the last few months of the year the best selling EV in China cost $4,200.
> Plus personally I've rarely convinced anyone to buy anything with TCO calculations. Maybe you've had more luck :-)
The fuel costs ways less per mile, what don't you believe about that?
> I think EVs are still a few years ago from real mass adoption. 2025 sounds a bit more realistic.
This is what the projections I've read say as well, and battery prices will continue to decline, though not as steeply. That will be when the steepening of the adoption S curve happens.