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There's not really any market justification for running it in the first place (aside from what value it has for scenic purposes), nor is there ever likely to be.

A flight from Denver to San Francisco is $150-200 roundtrip and takes about 2 hours. A train from Denver to Emeryville (the train doesn't even go into the city) takes about 33 hours and costs $220 and hemorrhages money so badly that each passenger is a loss of $150+ even with that price.

You could dump 100 billion into it, making it true HSR and not having any intermediate stops, and it still won't be time competitive, and obviously won't be cost competitive. The distances are too large.

I support the HSR corridors, and more commuter services in the urban/semi-urban areas. But with the long distances and zero population density of most of the American West, the cross-country routes often make little sense beyond basically being a long scenic railway.



"That 1 train is always busy"

As someone who rides the train I can tell you that you are very, very wrong.

In the winter lots of people ride it to Reno.

Families ride it from Winnemucca, NV to Green River, UT. Kids ride it (by themselves) between Reno and Winnemucca.

Lots of families ride it that can't afford the airfare for all of them. Or they have too much luggage, or they live in rural areas that are hours away from the nearest major airport.

Unlike an airplane that is point to point - the train connects people in the in-between places to other in-between places.

Between SFO and Chicago, Amtrak sells each seat in the zepher about 3-4x.

I know that the train will be crowded between bay area and reno ( filled with people that don't exist apparently ). It will empty out at Reno. Gradually refill across nevada, utah and western colorado. Empty out again in Denver. And then refill to chicago.

And yes I have met people who are taking the train all the way.

Traveling by train is way more than just getting there.

And that airfare from SFO-DEN - that is fantasy - esp around christmas.


He says it is not cost effective to run. You said he is wrong, but don't seem to have addressed the same topic at all.


Hmmm - I believe I did. From a single person's perspective: it is expensive to fly from winnemucca,nv to say green river, ut.

And as far as the whole "does not pay" / "subsidies" - that is a nonsense argument because no one applies that standard to the interstate highway system or to airports.




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