There's a difference between making an educated guess and "have no clue what you are talking about". I first mined in 2011, and have purchased through numerous exchanges since then. An increasing number of users aren't geeks who give a damn about crypto: they want to get into Bitcoin with the easiest on-ramp.
edit: Did you totally change your reply? From the time I started my comment to hitting submit, your comment completely changed.
But to your point, you're presuming I have no clue, that I own no Bitcoin, that I'm not a regular participant in communities like Bitcointalk and /r/bitcoin. You believe there's a world where everyone has paper wallets and Trezors and ASICs. No: the early adopters are becoming a smaller percentage of the Bitcoin world. People are buying via Coinbase and Circle, and if they're really advanced, they sweep to a hosted wallet on Blockchain. Even many miners aren't immediately sweeping their coins, instead, leaving them on the pools. Do you really think it's going the opposite direction, towards less centralization?
If you're going to keep changing your comments, please mark them with "edit".
I don't have the numbers, but guess what, you don't either. I'm going on mostly anecdotal evidence: Bitpay's growth, Circle's growth, Coinbase's growth, etc. I may be wrong about "most", but in the face of hard numbers (which many companies like Coinbase don't provide), how could any observation of the community not lean towards a conclusion of increasing centralization?
edit: Did you totally change your reply? From the time I started my comment to hitting submit, your comment completely changed.
But to your point, you're presuming I have no clue, that I own no Bitcoin, that I'm not a regular participant in communities like Bitcointalk and /r/bitcoin. You believe there's a world where everyone has paper wallets and Trezors and ASICs. No: the early adopters are becoming a smaller percentage of the Bitcoin world. People are buying via Coinbase and Circle, and if they're really advanced, they sweep to a hosted wallet on Blockchain. Even many miners aren't immediately sweeping their coins, instead, leaving them on the pools. Do you really think it's going the opposite direction, towards less centralization?