Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

After something fails, it's usually trivial to go back and see the obvious reason that it failed, and find a professor willing to say so.

Before something fails, it can be very difficult to notice it, and even more difficult to differentiate it from all the other obvious things that will kill it but actually never will.

It's hard to make predictions, especially about the future.



Worse than that: it's very easy and almost always correct to predict that a startup will fail.

But... paying someone to make that prediction (even if you largely trust their authority) is not actually helpful.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: