"more Americans have been added to the population of Mexico over the past few years than Mexicans have been added to the population of the United States, according to government data in both nations."
That is priceless. I hope the South Park writing team are taking note. They could do a follow up to "The Last of the Meheecans".
This refers to Americans who are documented foreigners in Mexico. Does the number of Mexicans added to the US population include undocumented immigrants, or only documented ones?
It's actually a pretty remarkable claim. Anyone know where these numbers come from? Or why they use the phrase "the past few years" instead of something more precise? I'd like to use this fact in the future, but first I want to verify that it's not a weird statistical artifact.
I lived in Mexico for two years after the crisis of 2008. It was already obvious then that the median college graduate in Mexico had a higher material quality of life than the average American college grad.
The wages are lower but the Mexican cost of living hasn't been bid up by severe development restrictions, badly planned infrastructure, and finance industry corruption. Middle class life south of the border is more comfortable than in the USA because prices for housing and transportation aren't driven by status bidding wars for the limited set of safe, quality locations and good school districts.
Unskilled workers still make a lot more in the USA and have a richer life there, but the smaller Mexican educated class is maintaining its quality of life as it expands. It already matches the wealth north of the Rio Grande.
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I should add an example.
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For example, imagine we're comparing LA to Guadalajara or SF to Mexico City. With a degree from a good school, a civil servant might start out making $750 a month in Mexico or $2200 a month in the USA, after taxes. A decent small shared apartment will cost $200 in Mexico or $800 in the USA. The American will need a car for at least $400 a month, but cheap, efficient, and somewhat comfortable public transit is available all over Mexico. Electronics and internet cost the same. Splurging out at a nice restaurant can be done for $15 a person in Mexico that compares to $60 a person in LA or SF. The Mexican will graduate without any student loan debt while the American is paying every month, so that nice restaurant will be out of reach in El Norte, anyway.
A fairly well paid engineer in Mexico might be making $2200 a month while his American equivalent makes $7000, after taxes (think $100k-$140k US salary) . A nice apartment in a fancy part of Mexico City suitable for a family might cost $800 a month, but development policy has kept single family homes equally affordable in central areas, too. Nice apartments in SF cost $3500 a month and houses cost much more. Most professionals in urban Mexico don't need or want a car, but in SF the engineer and his spouse will both spend so much time in one that they'll need two nice cars and dedicated parking. Okay, I already can't figure out how the US person can afford to have a family at all; maybe that's why they don't. The Mexican engineer will be living pretty and thinking about a third kid. And Gosh help the American if he ever needs health care.
On the other hand, the minimum wage for unskilled labor in Mexico is about $5 a day.
LA and SF are not representative of all of the US. A professional in flyover country is going to have a lifestyle more like the Mexican professional you describe than the American one in the expensive coastal cities, except that the flyover country American will need a car.
I'm looking for a rental right now. For $800 I would expect a three bedroom house (with free parking, of course), not a small shared apartment.
Some pretty cities in American flyover country are a very good deal. Eugene, Boise, Flagstaff, Albuquerque, Salt Lake, and others can have half the coastal wages and one third the cost of living. In some ways, they're an analogue to the advantages Mexico has for its local well educated class. On the other hand, the American flyover cities achieve it in a very different way and make the advantage available to a wider range of skill levels.
Mexican flyover cities don't seem have a comparable advantage over the big city, mostly because it's harder to get a high skilled job in the cheaper parts of Mexico. I've only lived for a month in a smaller Mexican city, though; my view may be incomplete.
Or course, not everyone wants to live in LA or SF or Mexico City.
Mexico City has crime rates comparable to California cities but higher than NYC. It's considered the second safest metro in the country, after Mérida. The drug traffic violence worries everyone but is mostly confined to border states.
Education is complicated and very different from the USA. The local public elementary school that I walked past every day seemed to have literate students and attentive teachers working sincerely on education but there's a scandal of unqualified teacher hiring and international test results from rural areas are depressing. The neighborhood I lived in was considered activist and organized so it may have been unrepresentative. The former leader of the national teacher's union went to jail this year and the new president is working on reforms.
Free guaranteed schooling ends after eight years. Competitive testing puts a really large number of students into many different large but good public high schools with serious academic focus. Those who don't pass or who want more personalized or specialized attention can find private high schools ranging from cheap to Manhattan prices.
Several nearly free universities comparable to good top-tier and second tier state schools in the USA also take many students based on exams. More expensive private schools are also available.
So if you train your kids right and play the game, quality education is very cheap. If you let them screw up and get behind, it may cost a lot to get them back on track.
I think this is probably a part of a larger trend in migration. I lived in 2 countries as a child and 2 more as an adult. I'm 30. I think around 70% of of my coworkers have lived in more than one country. Basically, migration isn't an extreme decision anymore. Your lot doesn't need to be bad or hopeless to migrate from Germany to Spain or spend a couple of years on Seol. The difference in earnings/lifestyle doesn't need to be an order of magnitude. A marginal improvement can be enough to move some people.
Wealthy modern states rely quite heavily on the middle class for taxes. Within the middle class you'll find groups (eg single, childless, urban Europeans) that pay very high taxes while consuming very few services. They earn via highly taxable salaries. Most of their earnings are consumed and thus subject to GST/VAT and excise taxes. They also play the real estate, credit card, car financing, etc games that funnel money into finical institutions & industries which are so important to the political-economic goals politicians take on.
The net result of this is that for a middle class household in a wealthy country, wealth is somewhat of an illusion. Imagine a 30 year old unmarried couple earning €100k - well off on paper. They can expect to pay about €30-35k (depending on how the salary is split) in income tax. €1-€2k on flat taxes (car tax, tv tax, local tax). Then 25-40% of the remaining on a mortgage - say €21k. That leaves 40k-50k per year for taxable spending. Most of this will be taxed at 23%. Some stuff like petrol, alcohol, tobacco & cars will be taxed at a higher rate.
These people are still well off. It's hard not to be with to above average salaries and no expensive children. But are not near as well off as their earnings suggest they should be.
In some Eurpoean countries those taxes prop up a wasteful government. In some, they are paying for recent bank bailouts. In some, they are paying for an expensive legacy welfare state (with corresponding welfare class). In some, they are paying for past infrastructure investments. The best run countries (Netherlands, Germany, Scandinavian countries) do a good job of funneling those revenues to the same people at different stages of their life. Only a portion of most people's life is spent in this highly taxable, no need for government services state. But even in these cases it might make sense for a self interested individual to study at the countries expense and then earn outside of their tax jurisdictions.
If middle class migration and 'shopping around' for high quality of living becomes more prevalent, the tax revenue implications are enormous.
Don't forget that those minimum-wage workers pay one of the highest state/local tax rates in the nation for their income level: Texas taxes its poorest quintile 12.6% of their meagre incomes through its various taxes, the 6th-highest rate in the nation. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2013/09/21/th...
Still, even after taxes, a minimum wage salary probably goes a lot farther in Texas than in a place like NYC or SF, where the cost of living is much higher. And having even a minimum wage job puts you a lot closer to getting a higher-paid job than being on welfare, since it gives you a work history and references.
That's why I've never been a fan of sales taxes over income taxes. Texas, and the other states listed in that piece, don't have an income tax but instead rely on a sales tax and excise taxes (alcohol, tobacco, and gas) for revenues, which are all very regressive.
But an income tax is seen as a creeping evil, perpetually siphoning money away from the pockets of the citizens who worked and toiled for that hard-earned dollar. Instead, a sales tax fits more with the public's idea of a "fair" tax because it's like a "user fee," you only pay it if you use it. Don't want to pay sales tax? Easy, have Internet access and dodge it by ordering online, or just don't buy something. Don't want to pay income tax? Die.
As someone who grew up in Texas, now lives in NY, just from my observations, I think the lower-middle classes live far better and seem to be less marginalized than they are in the NY area. Home ownership is very much a possibility even on a $30k income near the population centers of Texas.
If it's true that the majority of other states lost jobs (as the parent comment claims), then Texas would have also created more jobs per capita than most other states (since a positive number, no matter how small, is greater than any negative number).
> ... since a positive number, no matter how small, is greater than any negative number ...
Strictly speaking, not "greater", which is an absolute measure, but more positive. -1 is absolutely greater than +1/2, but +1/2 is more positive than -1. Magnitudes don't have signs.
Consider a polar vector, which possesses a magnitude and one or more angles. For such a vector, the magnitude is always positive, on the basis that it is defined this way when shaped from Cartesian elements:
m = sqrt(x^2 + y^2 + z^2 ...)
In this convention, for any given value of m, the signs of the individual components are lost in the conversion, which means when discussing magnitude, only the absolute value of m matters.
But, because Mathematica has a "Greater[]" function, and because that function simultaneously uses the word I chose and pays attention to scalar signs, I must be wrong about this.
> That seems an odd definition of "greater" ...
I respect the people behind Mathematica, so I have to agree -- it's not what I thought. I should have qualified what I said more carefully.
If the majority of other states lost jobs, then it's quite feasible for any state with positive job growth to have created more jobs than the rest combined.
edit: It's also feasible for the state which lost the most jobs, to still not have lost as much as all the other states combined.
That is priceless. I hope the South Park writing team are taking note. They could do a follow up to "The Last of the Meheecans".