That's basically the same as the "this is the year of Linux on the desktop" argument. I won't hold my breath. Open source end-user products always seem to improve at a snails pace.
There are enough differences that I don't think your analogy holds water. One could just as well use the analogy of linking to Wikipedia as a citation rather than some proprietary site behind a paywall. The former has clearly won in the general case.
Well, go check out the fonts. Some of them are nice. I'll use them.
People do actually upgrade their browsers these days. The browsers yell at them if they don't. The next versions of Firefox, Safari, Opera, and IE all support it. It's only a year or so off (probably less if you don't wait for IE6/7 to go away.)