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By whom? I don't think anyone seriously said in 2023 we have AGI in two years. Even now, no one reputable is claiming AGI in two years.


Random on YouTube, random here on hacker news.

No, I don’t take them seriously, that was my point, which apparently I didn’t make clear enough.


The phrasing of your comment clearly implies an authoritive person or organisation telling us we would have AGI now.

There are billions of people. You have people who think the earth is flat. You can probably find any insane takes if you look for it. Best not take get told anything by them as you have seemed to have taken it to heart.


> Even now, no one reputable is claiming AGI in two years.

LOL...You really underestimate the intellectual dishonesty of these people...Its all about the greenback...

AGI by 2025...

Sam Altman - "AGI by 2025, potentially during Trump's term" - https://firstmovers.ai/agi-by-2025/

AGI by 2026...

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) - https://youtu.be/Wo95ob_s_NI?t=1040

Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) - "AGI by 2026-2027 based on capability progression trends" - https://cointelegraph.com/news/human-level-ai-as-early-as-20...

AGI by 2027...

Daniel Kokotajlo (Former OpenAI Researcher) - "Ex-OpenAI researcher predicts AGI by 2027" - https://www.theneuron.ai/explainer-articles/an-ex-openai-res...

Leopold Aschenbrenner (Former OpenAI Researcher) - AGI by 2027, superintelligence by 2028-2029 - https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/ai-timelines-and-nation...




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