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Why are the predictions of the tsunami experts so poor? What can be done to get higher accuracy?


I don’t think there’s a high false positive rate on these. They do happen pretty rarely, and a false negative is far worse than a false positive. Due to the tsunami wave propagation, it can sometimes take hours for significant waves to reach the coastline.


We just had another one in the SF Bay Area a few months ago where they were wildly off.




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