If Bankman-Fried does somehow get a pardon, I will be amazed that the bitter debate on HN about whether he would get off scott free or would be thrown in prison somehow resulted in both parties being correct.
I doubt he will, I'd think it would be to curry favor with the crypto crowd, but I don't think they have a lot of love for Bankman-Fried. But it's a spicy administration so it's not a 0% chance. Maybe a 1% to 5% chance.
He did start to donate more to Republicans, by 2022 it was quite even.
Trump does not care if you used to openly hate him. If you pledge allegiance to him, he is cool with it. Might need a small bribe, depending on the case.
I don't know if Trump will pardon him but I also wouldn't be surprised. Doing things simply to spite liberals, no matter how stupid they are, is one of his few guiding principles. Most liberals correctly think the SBF should be in prison and some percentage would get vocally upset about a blatant criminal walking free for no reason.
It's not the strongest case for SBF so I don't know if it will happen, but I'd put it at more like 30-40% than the something like 1-5%.
You don’t understand Trump’s transactional instinct.
If this guy offered to pay him $5B at some point, maybe he will have a better offer later? It’s best to pardon him and see what he comes up with. As long as he’s motivated by “how can I pay more money to DJT,” it doesn’t matter who else he tried to bribe.
wait, is trump being a complete moron not accepted by most people?
All it takes for SBF to be pardoned is someone to talk to Trump about it at the right time and offer him something.
Trump pardoned the Silk Road guy, a drug dealer, while claiming he was going to be the hardest president ever on drug dealers because crypto bros convinced him to do it.
Fortunately SBF has burned a ton of bridges. Most folks, even in crypto, dont like him.
