I don't think it's that black and white. AI will get progressively better and sure, people will be faster to deliver things. But there still needs to be someone to be able to decipher it all. I've been using GPT-4 tons and it's great to help get to a certain destination, but it isn't able to arrive at that destination by itself a majority of times.
Additionally I think that a lot of people will assume that once they get GPT-4 to do something for them that they're done. That's not necessarily true. There's a lot of complexity to navigate everywhere. And AI can help you navigate it! But I don't think it means that I, a software engineer, can now pivot to being a lawyer, for instance, solely because of GPT-4.
Sure, it's able to do a lot already. Maybe I'm being naive. But I see it more as a tool for the future rather than something that is going to automate people out of existence.
Edit: hm, why downvotes? If I'm wrong, help me improve my viewpoint on AI.
I'm not sure why the downvotes, I think it's a reasonable opinion. But I disagree, I think what is being sought is automation close to intelligence, and if progress continues (which is questionable itself), this system could eventually supplant humans in varying degrees. Initially, this may manifest pragmatically with salary cuts and job losses. However, in the long term, it may evolve to a more real and comprehensive overhaul of our roles. I think the main difference in my understanding is that it is not a tool like a hammer, it is more a tool that has the potential to design other tools (so far very simple) but if its capacity increases, it could automate significant parts of our work.
Additionally I think that a lot of people will assume that once they get GPT-4 to do something for them that they're done. That's not necessarily true. There's a lot of complexity to navigate everywhere. And AI can help you navigate it! But I don't think it means that I, a software engineer, can now pivot to being a lawyer, for instance, solely because of GPT-4.
Sure, it's able to do a lot already. Maybe I'm being naive. But I see it more as a tool for the future rather than something that is going to automate people out of existence.
Edit: hm, why downvotes? If I'm wrong, help me improve my viewpoint on AI.