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Was it? The author claims that it had previously been explored and found not to be worth it.

That could be puffery of course. But I have worked in several fields. A big advantage I bring is that I have an outsider's perspective and experience from a different domain ("Hey, why don't we try it this way?"). But a very big disadvantage is that when exploring something I find out that people often have thought of it and don't do things that way for good reason. For me that means I look before I speak.

A lot of the bomb-throwing suggestions of crypto revolutionaries is similar, and I have no reason to believe SBF was any different. In fact there's good reason to believe that SBF and his colleagues lacked adequate perspective, from their statements, their actions in retrospect, and frankly because of his MIT background. I'm also an MIT grad and was also an arrogant know-it-all into my late 20s (at least!) and am simply lucky that I got a few things right along the way so people were still talking to me by the time I grew up.



Yes, it was:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-15/ftx-once-...

> The author claims that it had previously been explored and found not to be worth it.

The author isn't an unbiased observer here.

> That could be puffery of course. But I have worked in several fields. A big advantage I bring is that I have an outsider's perspective and experience from a different domain ("Hey, why don't we try it this way?"). But a very big disadvantage is that when exploring something I find out that people often have thought of it and don't do things that way for good reason. For me that means I look before I speak.

For all their fault's the principals at FTX were not pure outsiders here. They were all ex Jane Street employees (traditional finance HFT firm) who ran a futures exchange in crypto. And if you don't accept those credentials, have a look at who else signed off on their proposal in the above article.

The reason CME didn't like their proposal is that it would have forced them to innovate and stop lazily rent seeking off their past efforts.

> A lot of the bomb-throwing suggestions of crypto revolutionaries is similar, and I have no reason to believe SBF was any different. In fact there's good reason to believe that SBF and his colleagues lacked adequate perspective, from their statements, their actions in retrospect, and frankly because of his MIT background. I'm also an MIT grad and was also an arrogant know-it-all into my late 20s (at least!) and am simply lucky that I got a few things right along the way so people were still talking to me by the time I grew up.

Somewhat ironically given your argument, everything you've said here is an "outside view" perspective on why they might be wrong. Look at the content of their proposal, and I think you'll change your mind pretty quick. Or just trust the dozens of traditional finance firms that supported them against CME.

If you want a similarly "outside view" argument in favor of their proposal, basically everyone in finance supported it except the incumbent commodity futures exchange, which should tell you everything you need to know.




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