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Call me cynical.

1. This vaccine race seems like "first one gets eternal glory" scenario, which might pressurise scientists to take shortcuts, which may be bad.

2. Even with successful vaccine trials, wouldn't take atleast an year to setup supply chain capable of distribution?

3. Virus mutates very fast, is it possible that all these early vaccine trials resulting in super virus which can't be killed by any kind of immune system.



1. Pretty easy to assay the vaccine itself and the blood of vaccine recipients and figure out (1) is it what they're saying it is? and (2) does it do what they're saying it does?

2. No. Google around for this; there's plenty of info on how this can be done more quickly. Also, "even if we find a vaccine it will take a year or more to produce it at scale" is no reason not to develop one or to celebrate progress in such development.

3. Possible? Uh, sure, yeah, most things are possible. Probable? I'm not aware of any evidence suggesting that "early vaccine trials result in super virus" is a remotely probable scenario. If you are aware of any such evidence, please post it here because I'd like to read it and update my view accordingly.


> 2. Even with successful vaccine trials, wouldn't take at least a year to setup supply chain capable of distribution?

My understanding is that at least some of the vaccines are being produced at scale while the trials are still ongoing, in the hopes that they will be successful and a huge supply will be needed.




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