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Odd how you switch from the reputable CDC to whatever "liveupdate.world" is. There have been 97[0] reported COVID-19 deaths in the US as of yesterday.

That said, "all causes ever" is ridiculous. Even worst-cases scenarios[1] put COVID-19 as the potential third cause of death in the US.

UPDATE: I think you weren't reading your own source well. There are +10 "new deaths" since an unspecified time, but that site is reporting 160 deaths overall.[2] I don't know how that's sourced, though, so I would be leery of trusting it, even though it makes a stronger case than the CDC.

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/case...

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/16/upshot/corona...

[2] https://liveupdate.world/coronavirus/p/en/official-corona-vi...



liveupdate.world was posted on HN a couple of days ago. The numbers of cases have been accurate according to the other sources I've checked, but I admit I have not really evaluated the number of deaths because the country I live in right now hasn't had any. That is my mistake, thanks for pointing it out.

That said, comparing actual numbers against a "worst-case scenario" is also apples and oranges. 97 people in a country of somewhere between 325 and 330 million people... if my admittedly poor math skills are correct, that is about 0.00002%. Yes, that's in roughly a month, but even exponentially it _could_ be worse than cancer, but there is no evidence to suggest it _will_ be thus far.


Yes sorry, I was copying the terminology from the article poorly. It's going to be higher than historical events, but not other medical causes. E.g. 4x deaths of the civil war.




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