Right, I was suggesting the murder rate for tourists might be lower than the overall murder rate, which could make the "You’re 100x more likely to die in a car accident on your commute tomorrow than by a cartel member in Mexico as a tourist" statement correct.
0.06 is indeed 100x less than 11, but to compare to the car crash death rate above you'd need to estimate the amount of time tourists spend in the country per year. If you say 1 week per year that brings it up to 3.12 per 100k per year, so still less than the risk of dying in a car accident (in the US), but not 100x less.
Also, technically the statement was "by a cartel member", so you'd have to know how many of those murders were by cartel members.
Exactly, I think I was editing to add that as you wrote this. Also, my guesstimate of 10 tourist murders/year may be way off. I'm guessing it's lower, certainly if only by cartel members, but not sure.
0.06 is indeed 100x less than 11, but to compare to the car crash death rate above you'd need to estimate the amount of time tourists spend in the country per year. If you say 1 week per year that brings it up to 3.12 per 100k per year, so still less than the risk of dying in a car accident (in the US), but not 100x less.
Also, technically the statement was "by a cartel member", so you'd have to know how many of those murders were by cartel members.