> Silver’s model estimates “the election result of the election were to happen t...

		dragonwriter on April 9, 2019 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Nassim Talebs case against Nate Silver is bad math > Silver’s model estimates “the election result of the election were to happen tomorrow” The nowcast does, but the nowcast isn't the main output, the two (polls-plus and polls-only) forecast models are.