Even simple linear models can outperform "experts" in numerous fields, especially in those where the feedback loop (for learning) is very long (as is the case in the criminal justice system).

An amazing paper that touches on this topic: In Praise of Epistemic Irresponsibility: How lazy and ignorant can you be? by Michael A. Bishop

You can find the PDF easily. Here's a ref: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A:1005228312224