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Certificate readiness across the force has been dropping as procurement and testing costs have soared with inflation. It's now estimated that only 50% of .mil website are now ready for a conflict in the South China Sea.

I just migrated my personal website to nixos and can second all of this. There's a learning curve, but the time to provision a new server once it's all working is hilariously short.


I use debian + ansible and it requires discipline (you have to make sure you never do manual steps basically) but my entire ansible playbook makes server creation a 3 min process.

I'm sure Nix is better, I just haven't needed it yet.


> it requires discipline (you have to make sure you never do manual steps basically)

Since Nix requires a declarative configuration, you need less discipline, but more up-front specification. For example, making truly idempotent Ansible scripts requires a lot of effort and some strong assumptions about your starting state and what processes piped changes into your state, and what your state changes really mean. Also, running your playbook with newer version of the same software may lead to a different result. For example, migrating from bullseye to bookworm with a cargo-deb that contained dependencies: It turned out that there were implied dependencies taken for granted in bullseye that were removed in bookworm. With Nix this will lead to a build error rather than a deployment error or a runtime error (in most cases).

Nix requires fewer assumptions.

> my entire ansible playbook makes server creation a 3 min process

I'm a big fan of Ansible, and everything has its use.

I like to categorize deployment tools as either "bottom-up" or "top-down" depending on what assumptions you make about the world: Ansible fills the slot where you have no control of how the server got there, but you gotta make use of what you have, and start from scratch. Terraform is the canonical bottom-down tool: You assume you have perfect control of what gets provisioned, and that it won't go away or go out-of-sync without active maintenance.

In this top-down/bottom-up topology, Nix can fill the whole spectrum; most people assume Nix/NixOS is available to them, at which point their automation starts. Others deploy NixOS via various automated processes that can be integrated with both top-down or bottom-up solutions, e.g. distribute via network boot, VM image repository, or via "hostile takeover" (deploy on existing Linux machines via SSH, like Ansible, or using Ansible).


I'm turning off my brain and using neo4j

proof that Neo4j won the popularity contest!

Neo4j is pretty nice.

Automated theorem provers running on a $5k piece of hardware is a cool version of the future

>I find it suspicious how he came to prominence out of nowhere

He was first funded by FTX


Holy rabbit hole.

SBF was in Patel's previous podcast in July 2022 and FTX unraveled in November 2022. Hmm.

https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sbf

> I flew to the Bahamas to interview Sam Bankman-Fried, the CEO of FTX! He talks about FTX’s plan to infiltrate traditional finance, giving $100m this year to AI + pandemic risk, scaling slowly + hiring A-players, and much more.

And that was right in the middle of FTX being accused by many prominent people .

April 29, 2022 https://x.com/AlderLaneEggs/status/1520023221294145536

June 20, 2022 https://x.com/MartyBent/status/1538645746655936519


I clipped the SBF Dwarkesh interview for the relevant portion where he asks about co-mingling of funds

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TYIbgUy0T8U


Grifters gonna grift, and this one is well-connected.


the risk of catastrophic data loss from misuse of `dd` makes my hackles rise just looking at this.

I will never forget when I mixed up `if` and `of` during a routine backup.

`cat /dev/sda > /mnt/myDisk2` is so much safer, explicit, and in unix norms. It's also faster because you don't have to tune block size parameters.

Plus you can also do `pv /dev/sda > /mnt/myDisk2` to get transfer speed details.

Friends don't let friends use `dd` where `cat` can do the same job.


I stopped getting scared of `if` and `of` about a decade ago when I started explicitly saying (in my head) "input file" and "output file" rather than "if" and "of." You still can mess up the order, but imo no more easily than you can swap `cat in > out` for `cat out > in`.

> Friends don't let friends use `dd` where `cat` can do the same job.

Technically yes... but I like being able to explicitly set block sizes and force sync writes.


I think you both are arguing about how to fight a bear with your bare hands. To win in that, you simply need to not fight with a bear.

Let's say someone made an expansion board with a cool feature: there are 5 documented I/O addresses, but accessing any other address fries the stored firmware. What would you do? No, not leaving a lot of comments in code in CAPS LOCK. No, not printing the correct hexadecimal values in red to put the message on the wall. You make a driver that only allows access to the correct addresses, and configure the rest of the system to make sure that it can only work through that driver.

Let's say there's a loading bay at the chemical plant with multiple flanges. If strong acid from the tanker is pumped into the main acid tank, everything is fine. If it is pumped into any other tank, the whole plant may explode and burn. What should be done? No, not promising that drivers will be fired, then shot by the firing squad if they make a mistake. Each connection is independently locked, and the driver only gets a single matching key.

You have wonderful programmable devices that allow you to solve non-standard problems with non-standard tools. What should be done is making a wrapper for dd that just does not allow you to do anything you don't want to happen. Even the most basic script with checks and confirmation is enough.


https://offmetaedh.com

Art search for magic cards


Work is freezing hiring and upping spending on tokens for everyone.

Don't know if this is effective and I don't think management knows either, but it's what they're doing


> Work is freezing hiring and upping spending on tokens for everyone.

Doesn't mean the two are related.

Is AI just the excuse? We've got tariffs, war, uncertainty and other drama non stop.


It's what they're telling us


Of course they are.

Management often has a perverse short-term incentive to make labor feel insecure. It’s a quick way to make people feel insecure and work harder ... for a while.

Also, “AI makes us more productive so we can cut our labor costs” sounds so much better to investors than some variation of “layoffs because we fucked up / business is down / etc”


You should look into the concepts of skepticism, materialism, and cynicism. Maybe don't trust the leadership of where you work, the leadership that sees you as a number and not a human.


The Gervais Principle entirely rewrote how I view workplaces. In fact, the model is fitting even more accurately as society grows more fractious.


Which story sends a more positive signal to shareholders?

"We've frozen hiring because our growth potential is tapped out."

"We've frozen hiring because AI can replace employees."


Do you believe everything management tells you, whether you’re internal or external?


>Is AI just the excuse?

When you're unemployed, it doesn't matter. When executives cargo cult, it doesn't matter.


Qwen 9B doesn't?


Nothing is really usable outside Opus.

I've tried too. Wasted a few days trying out even high end paid models.


Doesn't stop it from shitting the bed when you try to run anything like Fusion or Docker


Fair but it’s probably not the thought to buy an 8GB laptop for docker in 2026 when we’ve known about it for a long time.

There was a post recently about apples built in virtualizer that might be useful.

Before fusion or docker I’d probably try something like UTM on a MacBook neo.

If you’re after a light terminal remote access to the house power (a Mac mini somewhere etc) is probably easier.

I was really hoping the Neo would be a replacement for the 12” MacBook retina - it’s only 2 lbs and the best form factor I’ve ever carried for travel. It’s the only device I’d be in line for tomorrow, and until then we can pretend to use MacBook airs or MacBook pros.


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