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I'll no longer misunderestimate AI


Per David Reich: >10-20% of the ancestors of Eurasian people are neanderthal

>West African populations have up to 19% "Ghost DNA", belonging to an extinct species their ancestors interbred with

>Southeast Asians have DNA of the extinct Denisovan species, as much as 3-5% in the aboriginal people of Papua New Guinea, Australia, the Philippines

>These aboriginals also have DNA belonging to a now extinct, but not yet discovered hominid species

I'm sure the implications of all these findings have not yet been discovered but it's exciting to see them explored


Who cares. Do you want them to test on humans?


Give it time. Under President Musk it'll only be a matter of time until they invent a drug like the one used by Dr Cortazar's group in The Vital Abyss, eschewing ethics for scientific progression. I wouldn't be surprised if half the scientists under Musk's companies jump at the chance to use it, considering they still work for him while he dismantles American democracy (so their ethics are already questionable).


Severe case of MDS


Don’t you? They’ll need to do it sooner or later. The sooner - the less unwilling cobaye used.


They didn't measure the values before and after visiting the library so it's useless. "People who enjoy libraries also report enjoying libraries"


Zoom out:

>But in gauging the longer-term trend of what’s really happening with the fires, it’s necessary to go back much further. Data derived from written records from Cal Fire and the U.S. Forest Service dating back to 1919 show that wildfires, far from increasing, have actually declined over the last 100 years. And in fact the website of the National Interagency Fire Center previously noted that fires were at their very worst a century ago. (See data, research, and methodology for this article.)

>The data on the overall, century-long trend suggest that most of the 20th century represented an unusually low amount of fire, and what we’re seeing now is a return to the “normal” levels of fire of the early 1900s.

https://future.com/why-california-burns-the-facts-behind-the...


Thanks for that link. The data also shows that, over a longer (millennia) timescale, California is currently in a wet period.

Context is very important. Climate change is a critical issue, but solving it doesn't help California stop burning.


California leaving a wet period will make it burn less.

The problem isn't a lack of water. It's that we get a ton of water for a year or two. A bunch of stuff grows. Then we get no water for many years. All that stuff that grew in the wet years dries out. Eventually it burns.

If we just enter a dry period, there is only 1 step: no water, nothing grows. No more fires.


Yes, once it's fully into the dry period. The transition period involves a lot of fire.


Why don't they design the towers so they can be laid down flat and fixed on the ground and then pushed back upright again?


I can’t tell if this is a serious question. Towers this size are built in place, being able to handle the strain of being lifted from horizontal would be wild. Much easier and cheaper to pay a climber.


Ok. Lowering a huge tower to the ground pretty silly. How about designing the array at the top as a platform that could be lowered. Too much extra weight/cost?


Some very large towers do indeed have platforms at the top. And some even have elevators.

But the vast majority do not. Very expensive to build.


If I think about all the things that ca go wrong with folding huge tower, sending people to climb one seems like a fair trade.


I'd assume physics are the biggest constraint here. Just look at the machinery and equipment needed to raise a falcon 9 which is "only" ~230 ft tall.


Because then you need a 1115 ft stretch of flat ground to lay it on?


Then make it collapse in a spiral. Then, assuming you can make it infinitely thin, you can collapse into an arbitrarily small area.


This is just typical for science "journalism".

Take a study that only shows a correlation, and then write a clickbait article about causation.

The actual study says:

>Importantly, our study design has several limitations that limit causal inference and result in the possibility of other explanations, including unmeasured confounding from biological, social, or administrative factors. Firstly and perhaps most importantly, selection bias is possible because individuals who are at higher risk of developing Alzheimer’s disease may be less likely to enter or remain in memory intensive driving occupations such as taxi and ambulance driving.

>...

And

>Our large scale epidemiological findings raise novel questions about the linkage between taxi and ambulance driving and Alzheimer’s disease mortality. While these findings suggest a potential link between the demands of these occupations and reduced Alzheimer’s disease risk, this study design does not permit interpretation of a causal effect between occupations and risk of Alzheimer’s disease mortality or neurological changes in the hippocampus

I have noticed this for many years that when a study passes from the authors to science journalists to regular journalists to social media, information is lost at each level just like in Chinese whispers.


> This is just typical for science "journalism".

This one is not that bad.

First, and it is the most important point, it links to the actual studies. So many articles don't do that... Maybe some journalists should be told that unlike paper, the web has hyperlinks, but here, the author knows.

More than that, the article doesn't mentions a single study, and is cautious regarding potential causation. The article title doesn't explicitly mention causation, just that "taxi drivers offer a clue". It is clickbait, but clicks is how they get paid, as mainstream journalists, they don't really have a choice.

As a mainstream news article I'd give it a 9/10. It has sources, makes an effort that goes beyond interpreting a single paper, and talks about shortcomings.


Why not? It increases supply


An RV is better than nothing but they are not built for continuous use. An RV that is being lived in full time will start falling apart in a few years.


RVs can be repaired or replaced. And if the alternative is expensive enough, it's financially worthwhile to do so.

It's just the least insane option in an insane world.


It increases the supply of blight, perhaps.


I mean would you rather have RVs or tents on sidewalks?

Many of those in lower quality housing have jobs. The service workers and whatnot in every community have to live somewhere.


Neither. Raise taxes and have the government build decent houses.


that has zero realistic chance of happening in the US. Even repealing the Faircloth amendment that limits public housing stock is not broadly popular.

And these days all housing providers, whether for-profit, non-profit, or public, are running into the same issues with zoning, financing, rising costs, etc.


None of those people had autism


citation needed


Autism is first diagnosed in 1911 and Asperger's in 1944.

It wasn't commonly diagnosed during any of these people's lives, so you're not going to find conclusive evidence.

None of them were diagnosed (obviously not Newton).

So you're only going to find people arguing over straws.


absence of evidence is not evidence of absence


There is no strong evidence to go on.

What are you arguing?

They have Autism until proven otherwise?

About 0.5% of people were diagnosed with Autism before 1990: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4113600/

If we're making assumptions, statistically, we'd probably want to assume the other way.


I can't believe anybody honestly thinks that building a powerful AI is honestly a good thing. It seems that we're all trapped in a "keeping up with the joneses" style race where even if every individual person agrees that building AI is a bad thing, they're not able to stop because they still want to beat the competition and reap the rewards. And once there are millions or billions of these AI agents running around each of whom is smarter than every human on earth, good luck trying to predict or control them..


Some people say they do, you know, summon the thermodynamic god and /wipe out all of humanity/ optimize the light cone according to the Jarzynski-Crooks fluctuation theorem.

According to the polls, yeah, it's unpopular.


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